Canada threatens U.S., will turn off our power. What can happen?

The truth about the power grid and Canada.

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Elon is the latest target.

THE CANADIAN POWER STRUGGLE

Our Neighbors to the North Threaten to Cut Off Our Power: Time to Wake Up, America!

The stock market went nuts again today, and not for the better. Fueled in part to a fight between Trump and Canadian officials battling over tariffs. Here is the short explanation:
President Trump ordered an increase in tariffs on Canadian steel and aluminum imports from 25% to 50%, effective March 12, in retaliation for Ontario's 25% tax on electricity exports to the United States. Trump also threatened to raise auto import tariffs if Canada does not lift other tariffs, demanded the removal of a dairy tariff. Ontario Premier Doug Ford vowed to maintain the energy tax. He then took it step further and said that he’d consider turning off the power to the U.S. altogether.

Listen up, because this is a wake-up call we can’t ignore. 
Canada actually threatened to turn off the lights on America. I repeat, Doug Ford, in a fit of retaliatory pique over Trump’s tariffs, said he’s ready to flip the switch on the electricity Canada sends to the U.S. This isn’t just a trade spat; it’s a national security crisis in the making, and it’s time we stop playing chess and start throwing punches. Let me break this down for you—how we got here, why it matters, and what we need to do to make sure the lights stay on, no thanks to our so-called “friends” up north.

First, let’s get the facts straight on this electricity mess. 
Canada’s been sending power across the border for over 116 years, ever since some bright spark figured out how to string a wire from their dams to our grids. Why? Because Canada’s got more water than they know what to do with, and they’ve turned it into cheap, clean hydropower. Meanwhile, we’ve got states like Michigan, New York, and Minnesota begging for extra juice during heatwaves and blizzards. So, Canada builds these massive dams—Quebec’s Hydro-Québec, Ontario’s Hydro One, and British Columbia’s BC Hydro—and they sell us the surplus. Last year, they shipped 33.2 million megawatt hours our way, making up the lion’s share of our imported power. It’s a sweet deal for them—cash in their pockets—and for us, a cheap fix to keep the grid humming. But here’s the kicker: we let ourselves get hooked on it, and now they’re threatening to pull the plug.

Where does this power go?
Ontario’s feeding Michigan, Minnesota, and New York through lines crossing at Detroit, Sault Ste. Marie, and Niagara Falls. Quebec’s pumping juice into New York City and New England, keeping the lights on for the latte-sipping elites. British Columbia’s got the Pacific Northwest covered, with power flowing into Washington, Oregon, and California. And Manitoba’s sending some to Minnesota and North Dakota. This isn’t just a few extension cords; it’s a spiderweb of transmission lines tying our grid to theirs, all overseen by some bureaucratic outfit called NERC—North American Electric Reliability Corporation. It’s a vulnerability, and Canada’s threat just exposed it.

Why do they do it? 
Money, plain and simple. Canada’s got excess power, and we’re a big, juicy market. Plus, it’s “green” energy, so it lets our liberal politicians pat themselves on the back while they shut down our own coal and gas plants. And hey, it’s not like Canada’s doing us a favor out of the goodness of their hearts. They need our cash just as much as we need their watts. But here’s where it gets ugly: Ford’s threat to cut us off isn’t about economics; it’s about politics. Trump’s tariffs are meant to pressure Canada into cracking down on illegals and fentanyl pouring across the border. Ford’s response? “Oh, you want to play hardball? Fine, we’ll turn off your power.” It’s blackmail, and it’s disgusting.

Now, let’s talk about what happens if Canada actually follows through. Spoiler alert: it’s not the end of the world, but it’s not pretty either. Canadian imports are less than 1% of our total electricity use, but they’re a big deal for border states. Without that juice, Michigan, New York, and New England could see higher prices, strained grids, and maybe even blackouts during peak demand—like when a polar vortex hits or a heatwave fries the system. Industries—think factories, data centers—get hit hard, jacking up costs for everyone. And guess what? The enviro-nuts will scream bloody murder if we fire up more gas or coal plants to fill the gap, even though that’s exactly what we’d have to do in a pinch. Long term, it’s a wake-up call: we’ve let ourselves get dependent on foreign power, and that’s a national security risk, plain and simple.

So, how did we get into this mess? 
Blame decades of weak-kneed leadership on both sides of the border. Back in the ’80s and ’90s, deals like NAFTA made energy trade tariff-free, turning our grid into a North American free-for-all. Fine, it worked—until it didn’t. Now, Canada’s acting like a spoiled kid who takes his ball and goes home because he doesn’t like the rules. And our leaders? They’ve been asleep at the switch, letting Canada hold us over a barrel while they virtue-signal about “clean energy partnerships.” Enough is enough.

Here’s what we do, and listen close because this is the part that matters.
Short term, if Canada cuts us off, we crank up our own plants—gas, coal, whatever it takes. Yeah, the greenies will cry, but guess what? Keeping the lights on trumps their feelings every time. We can also tell consumers to cut back during peak hours.

Medium term, we being the process of investigating how we can improve own grid, and look for better renewables— we can’t let foreigners control our destiny.

Long term: We build. Nuclear plants, domestic hydro, geothermal—you name it. We upgrade our grid, harden it against threats, and tell Canada, “Thanks, but no thanks.”

Don’t screw with us.
Trump needs to hit back hard—tariffs are just the start. Make it clear to Ford, Canada, and all nation states that weaponizing energy is a one-way ticket to a trade war they can’t win.

Here’s the bottom: Canada’s threat is a gut punch, but it’s also a gift. It’s a chance to wake up, get serious, and take back control of our energy future. We don’t need their hydropower, their apologies, or their sanctimonious lectures. We need Trump to show Canada we are more than words, we are a country with spine, and our policies have teeth, and we will never bow down to small operators like Ottawa. So, let’s flip the script. Let’s turn this crisis into an opportunity to make America energy-independent, once and for all. And to Canada? Wake up.

DATA OF INTEREST

Amount of Money Paid to Canada for Electricity Exports:

  • In 2024, the total value of electricity exports from Canada to the United States was $2.6 billion.

  • Historically, this value has fluctuated, reaching as high as $5.8 billion in 2022 due to elevated commodity prices for natural gas, oil, and coal.

Who Pays for It:

  • U.S. utilities and energy companies importing electricity from Canada pay for the exports, often under long-term contracts with Canadian entities such as Manitoba Hydro and Hydro Quebec.

  • Ultimately, the costs are passed on to U.S. consumers (households and businesses) in regions like New England, New York, Michigan, and Minnesota, who rely on Canadian electricity. Approximately 1.5 million American homes and businesses are affected.

Potential Long-Term Economic Impact of U.S. Tariffs on Canada:

  • U.S. tariffs of 25% on Canadian goods (with energy at 10%) are estimated to reduce Canada's long-run GDP by up to 3.6%, reflecting significant economic contraction due to reduced export volumes and disrupted supply chains.

  • Canadian business investment could decline significantly due to weaker export activity, higher costs of imported machinery and equipment, and reduced business profits, leading to a permanent decline in potential GDP.

  • Employment in Canada could be heavily impacted, with estimates suggesting a loss of around 2 million jobs tied to exports, particularly in sectors like energy, automotive, and manufacturing, as firms face reduced demand and competitiveness in the U.S. market.

  • The Canadian dollar is expected to depreciate, increasing the cost of imports and potentially raising inflation, further straining the economy.

  • Integrated supply chains, especially in industries like motor vehicles, could face amplified disruptions, increasing production costs and reducing output, with long-term effects on economic stability and growth.

REMINDERS & NOTICES…

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